First Home Buyer Numbers Have Halved Is It Time To Swoop In?
Repeated cash rate hikes have put many first home buyer plans on hold, so could you swoop in and reap the benefits with less competition in the market?
From May to December the RBA lifted the cash rate from 0.10% to 3.10%. This has no doubt hit many mortgage holders hard, but it has also pumped the brakes in the number of first home buyers looking to enter the property market.
Current Australian Bureau of Statistics data shows that the number of first home buyers has fallen from 3.2% to 8,576 in October alone. That is almost half the 16,187 first home buyers who entered the market in January 2021.
So, if you are looking to buy, how can this benefit you?
Less Competition and More Bargaining Power
From mid 2020 to end of 2021, we saw a house buying frenzy. And house hunters who were unable to compete had to make do with the leftovers. But fewer buyers on the market means that there is less of a chance you will have to duke it out for a chosen property. There could also be more favourable homes for you to choose form, without the overcrowded open houses.
With fewer buyers making offers, sellers could have concerns about offloading their property.
CoreLogic data from November 2022 shows the median days a property sits on the market is 35 days, compared to 20 days in 2021.
So, if you have your financial ducks in a row and are prepared to negotiate, flex that bargaining power and try for a great price.
Softening Property Prices
High demand in recent years saw property reach eye-watering prices, but over the past three months, there has been a decline around most parts of the country (except for regional South Australia and regional Western Australia).
In some instances, it could be cheaper to buy than rent. National median weekly rental prices rose by 4.3% in September 2022, which is a record-breaking price hike. And a recent analysis found that for 518 Australian suburbs, home loan payments were more affordable than renting.
Escaping the rent crunch and buying your first home in an opportune area could be a smooth move if your finances are in a decent shape. And you might want to get the ball rolling sooner rather than later. That is because prices could go up again as early as next year if the RBA pauses rate rises and inflation drops, according to SQM Research’s Housing Boom and Bust Report for 2023.
Government Schemes for Savings
Taking advantage of the government incentives puts the keys in first home buyers hands on average 4 to 4.5 years quicker.
Giving lenders mortgage insurance the big swerve, paired with a low deposit of 5% is an enticing deal. And if you are eligible, that is what the government’s First Home Guarantee can offer. Spots are limited and have historically been snapped up quickly. But with fewer first home buyers entering the market, you may have more of a chance of nabbing a spot in this scheme.
Frequently Asked Questions
Why have the numbers of first home buyers decreased recently?
The number of first home buyers has decreased due to repeated cash rate hikes by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). From May to December, the RBA lifted the cash rate from 0.10% to 3.10%, making it more challenging for first-time buyers to enter the market.
How does the decrease in first home buyers benefit potential buyers?
The decrease in first home buyers means less competition in the property market. This gives potential buyers more bargaining power and a better chance to negotiate favorable prices.
What has been the impact on property prices?
Property prices have softened in most parts of the country over the past three months, except for regional South Australia and regional Western Australia.
Is it cheaper to buy than to rent now?
National median weekly rental prices rose by 4.3% in September 2022, making it potentially cheaper to buy than rent in some areas.
Are there any government schemes to help first home buyers?
Yes, the government’s First Home Guarantee can offer mortgage insurance waivers and low deposits of 5% to eligible first home buyers.
What should I do if I’m ready to buy a home?
If you’re ready to buy, it’s advisable to consult with a mortgage broker to understand your borrowing capacity and mortgage options. This will help you make an informed decision and potentially get a better deal.
Find out more
If you are ready to make the big leap towards home ownership, then give us a call. We have got the know-how to help you work out your borrowing capacity and your mortgage options. We will take the confusion out of financing your new home, so that you can get on with swooping in on the house of your dreams.
Zippy Financial is an award-winning mortgage brokerage specialising in home loans, property investment, commercial lending, and vehicle & asset finance. Whether you are looking to buy your first home, refinance or build your property investment portfolio, the team at Zippy Financial can help find and secure the right loan for you and your business.
About the Author:
Louisa Sanghera is an award-winning mortgage broker and Director at Zippy Financial. Louisa founded Zippy Financial with the goal of helping clients grow their wealth through smart property and business financing. Louisa utilises her expert financial knowledge, vision for exceptional customer service and passion for property to help her clients achieve their lifestyle and financial goals. Louisa is an experienced speaker, financial commentator, mortgage broker industry representative and small business advocate.
Louisa Sanghera is a Credit Representative (437236) of Mortgage Specialists Pty Ltd (Australian Credit Licence No. 387025).
Disclaimer:This article contains information that is general in nature. It does not take into account the objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular person. You need to consider your financial situation and needs before making any decisions based on this information. This article is not to be used in place of professional advice, whether business, health or financial.
RELATED ARTICLES
Interest Rate Rise: How Long Does It Take to Kick In?
You may be worried about borrowing money for property investment or to upgrade your home because you are unsure if you can afford any more rate rises, or you might still be catching up on all the rate rises we have had over 2022, and you are deep diving into your finances to ensure you can afford your existing commitments. Whatever your situation, you do not need to navigate this alone. By working with a mortgage broker, you can get a finance professional on-side to help you get an understanding of your overall property and financial situation.
A mortgage broker can help you with a range of things that will not only get your finances into shape, but that can also help you boost your borrowing capacity if you wish to invest in property in 2023.
Here are some things you should do before you Invest in Property
#1 – Review your current situation
The first thing you want to do is assess your current loans and make sure you are not paying more than you need to pay. There is a lot of competition in the mortgage market, and it could be possible to save 0.25% – 1% off your loan (or more), not to mention the cashback offers that are available.
A mortgage broker can review the options on your behalf to help you reduce the interest rate you are paying and therefore your repayments.
This also had the benefit of reducing your overall debts in the eyes of the lender, which increases your borrowing capacity.
#2 – Reduce your credit card limit
Did you know that it is the limit on your credit card and not the amount of debt outstanding that lenders will consider when reviewing your application?
So, if you have a credit card limit of $20,000 but you only owe $1,000 on it, the lenders will consider the debt as if you owe $20,000. This is because you have the option to spend up to your total credit limit whenever you like, so the lenders will treat you as if you have spent the maximum.
Reducing your credit card limit by just $5,000 can add up to $25,000 to your borrowing power (and it also reduces the temptation to spend!)
#3 – Consolidate high interest debts
If you have multiple debts to manage, such as a car loan, a personal loan, credit cards, a store card and some buy now pay later debt, this can impact your ability to get a home loan. The banks want to see that you are diligent with money and that you can afford to take on the responsibility of a new mortgage, and multiple personal debts can give them a reason to be cautious.
All these debts come with minimum repayments, which can eat into your income and reduce your borrowing power. By consolidating all personal debts into one facility, such as a low-interest personal loan or even into your owner-occupier home loan, you can reduce your monthly outgoings, lower the amount of interest you pay and boost your borrowing power all in one go.
#4 – Asses your household budget
Another way to increase your borrowing power is to reduce how much you are spending on household bills. Every dollar that you can save on things such as electricity, phone, internet, and insurance is an extra dollar in your “disposable income” bucket, which the bank considers when deciding on how much they will lend you.
You could also consider reducing or cancelling subscriptions like gyms, TV streaming, music subscriptions and other software programs that you no longer need. A quick audit of your bills and comparing cheaper options could save you hundreds or even thousands of dollars per year, putting more money in your pocket to help you achieve your property investing goals.
By following some or all the above steps, you can get on top of your borrowing capacity and present yourself to the lenders in the best possible light. If you are interested in learning more about what your options are and how we can help you when it comes to accessing equity and investing in property, contact us today.
Zippy Financial is an award-winning mortgage brokerage specialising in home loans, property investment, commercial lending, and vehicle & asset finance. Whether you are looking to buy your first home, refinance or build your property investment portfolio, the team at Zippy Financial can help find and secure the right loan for you and your business.
About the Author:
Louisa Sanghera is an award-winning mortgage broker and Director at Zippy Financial. Louisa founded Zippy Financial with the goal of helping clients grow their wealth through smart property and business financing. Louisa utilises her expert financial knowledge, vision for exceptional customer service and passion for property to help her clients achieve their lifestyle and financial goals. Louisa is an experienced speaker, financial commentator, mortgage broker industry representative and small business advocate.
Louisa Sanghera is a Credit Representative (437236) of Mortgage Specialists Pty Ltd (Australian Credit Licence No. 387025).
Disclaimer:This article contains information that is general in nature. It does not take into account the objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular person. You need to consider your financial situation and needs before making any decisions based on this information. This article is not to be used in place of professional advice, whether business, health or financial.
Following all the interest rate rises, home loans have not just returned to pre-covid levels – they’ve surpassed them. And unfortunately, there may be further rate rises ahead.
So, how can you best prepare – and what can you do about your borrowing power, if you want to buy in this market but your borrowing power has been squeezed?
The cash rate is currently sitting at 3.10%, with economists and experts predicting a few increases in 2023 as well.
Many borrowers are already reeling from the massive increase to their monthly repayment levels, and the prospect of even more rate hikes is worrying.
For those who were considering investing in property, those plans may have been put on the backburner. With home loan rates a lot higher than they were at the beginning of the year, it may not feel like the ideal time to take on another loan.
If this sounds like you, here are a few things to consider:
Rents are increasing – your home loan repayment is higher, but the rental income you’re getting is likely to be much higher, too, with the potential for rents to completely cover the mortgage repayment.
Rate hikes will slow – and eventually, stop. Some economists are even predicting that interest rates may start to come down in the second half of 2023.
Competition is decreasing – and with less competition in the market to drive prices up, you’ll be able to negotiate a lower price.
Property prices are falling – interest rates may be higher, but the price you’ll pay for the property is likely to be lower. A home that was listed for $700,000 this time last year could sell for $600,000 – $650,000 today, or less, depending on the suburb and local market factors.
Many property experts say the best time to buy is when the market is in a depressed cycle, as there’s less competition and opportunities to negotiate abound.
If you’d like to buy an investment property, you’ll first want to work out your borrowing power – and just importantly, look for ways to increase it.
How to boost your borrowing power
The factors outlined here are the things you can’t change, as interest rates and the individual bank policies are out of your control.
What are some of the levers you can pull to increase your borrowing power?
Consolidate debts
Multiple debts such as credit cards, personal loans, car loans and store cards can chew through your disposable income and increase your risk profile. By consolidating them all into one debt, you can reduce your monthly repayment obligations, which will have the impact of boosting your borrowing power. You may even be able to consolidate your personal debts into your home loan. Make sure you speak to your mortgage broker to discuss the pros and cons of doing this, considering your unique situation.
Lower your credit card limit
Many people don’t realise that banks assess your credit card debts based on the limit, not on the outstanding balance. So, if you have a $10,000 credit card limit but an outstanding balance of $500, the bank will assume you owe $10,000. Why? Because they know you have access to that amount of credit, and they need to ensure you can afford it. Reducing your credit limit by $5,000 can add upwards of $25k to your borrowing power (depending on the lender), so review and lower your credit limits before applying for a home loan.
Check your credit score
Another one of the key things you can do to get your borrowing capacity up to a higher level is to ensure you have a good credit rating. The stronger your rating, the less “risk” you present to the lender. If you have a poor credit rating, they’ll perceive you as being at a higher risk of not making your repayments, which means they might reduce the amount they’re willing to lend you.
To see what your options are, contact a Mortgage Broker to see what your options are.
Zippy Financial is an award-winning mortgage brokerage specialising in home loans, property investment, commercial lending, and vehicle & asset finance. Whether you are looking to buy your first home, refinance or build your property investment portfolio, the team at Zippy Financial can help find and secure the right loan for you and your business.
About the Author:
Louisa Sanghera is an award-winning mortgage broker and Director at Zippy Financial. Louisa founded Zippy Financial with the goal of helping clients grow their wealth through smart property and business financing. Louisa utilises her expert financial knowledge, vision for exceptional customer service and passion for property to help her clients achieve their lifestyle and financial goals. Louisa is an experienced speaker, financial commentator, mortgage broker industry representative and small business advocate.
Louisa Sanghera is a Credit Representative (437236) of Mortgage Specialists Pty Ltd (Australian Credit Licence No. 387025).
Disclaimer:This article contains information that is general in nature. It does not take into account the objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular person. You need to consider your financial situation and needs before making any decisions based on this information. This article is not to be used in place of professional advice, whether business, health or financial.
Why Lender Care Your Debt-To-Income Ratio
Data from the lending watchdog reveals that almost one in four new mortgages are risky. How are they deemed risky? It’s got something to do with your debt-to-income ratio or DTI.
Your DTI might sound complicated, but it is simple to work out. Your DTI is a measurement used by lenders that compares your total debt to your gross household income.
The formula is… total debt / gross income = debt-to-income ratio
Here is an example:
If you are seeking a $700,000 home loan (and have no other debt), and you have $160,000 in gross household income, then your DTI is 4.375 – a ratio that most lenders would be comfortable with.
Why Do Lenders Care About Your DTI?
The December quarter data released by the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) shows 24.4$ of new mortgages have a DTI ration of 6 or higher. At the 6+ ratio, APRA (the banking watchdog) deems these loans as risky, and they are keen to see the percentages of these loans that lenders approve to start to come down. That is because they have been steadily rising for a while now.
For example, in the September 2021 quarter, new mortgages with a DTI of 6 or higher were at 23.8% while in the December 2020 quarter, it was just 17.3%.
Why Has the Percentage of Risky Loans Risen?
The recent rise in high DTIs has most likely got a lot do with the phenomenal price growth (and resulting FOMO) we have seen across the country over the past 18 months.
Data released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics shows that in the 12 months to December 2021, residential property prices rose 23.7% – the strongest annual growth ever recorded.
So, with the property prices increasing at such a sharp rate and people stretching themselves to their limits to buy into the market, it has resulted in upwards pressure on high DTI percentages. The good news is that as the property market starts to cool, so too should the growth rate of risky DTIs.
How Much Can You Safely Afford to Borrow?
There is a fine line between maximising your investment opportunities and stretching yourself beyond your limits. It is important to stress-test what you can borrow in the current financial landscape and also against any upcoming headwinds that are tipped to hit borrowers, such as interest rate rises and possible tightening lending standards.
Everyone’s financial situation is different. Some lenders will consider your circumstances and accept a loan application where a DTI is higher than 6.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Debt-To-Income Ratio (DTI)?
The Debt-To-Income (DTI) ratio is a measurement used by lenders to compare your total debt to your gross household income. The formula for calculating DTI is: total debt / gross income.
Why Do Lenders Care About DTI?
Lenders use the DTI ratio to assess the risk associated with a mortgage application. A high DTI ratio is considered risky, and lenders are keen to see the percentage of such loans come down.
What is Considered a Risky DTI Ratio?
According to the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA), loans with a DTI ratio of 6 or higher are considered risky.
Why Has the Percentage of Risky Loans Increased?
The rise in high DTI ratios is likely due to the significant growth in property prices, causing people to stretch their financial limits to buy into the market.
How Can I Safely Afford to Borrow?
It’s crucial to stress-test your borrowing capacity against current financial conditions and upcoming changes like interest rate rises. Some lenders may accept a loan application where the DTI is higher than 6, depending on your circumstances.
How Can Zippy Financial Help Me Understand My DTI?
Zippy Financial can help you find out your borrowing capacity and options, and map out a financial plan tailored to your needs.
If you’d like to find out your borrowing capacity and options, get in touch with us today. We would love to sit down with you and help you map out a plan.
Zippy Financial is an award-winning mortgage brokerage specialising in home loans, property investment, commercial lending, and vehicle & asset finance. Whether you are looking to buy your first home, refinance or build your property investment portfolio, the team at Zippy Financial can help find and secure the right loan for you and your business.
About the Author:
Louisa Sanghera is an award-winning mortgage broker and Director at Zippy Financial. Louisa founded Zippy Financial with the goal of helping clients grow their wealth through smart property and business financing. Louisa utilises her expert financial knowledge, vision for exceptional customer service and passion for property to help her clients achieve their lifestyle and financial goals. Louisa is an experienced speaker, financial commentator, mortgage broker industry representative and small business advocate.
Louisa Sanghera is a Credit Representative (437236) of Mortgage Specialists Pty Ltd (Australian Credit Licence No. 387025).
Disclaimer:This article contains information that is general in nature. It does not take into account the objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular person. You need to consider your financial situation and needs before making any decisions based on this information. This article is not to be used in place of professional advice, whether business, health or financial.
RELATED ARTICLES
Interest Rate Rise: How Long Does It Take to Kick In?
Comparison Rate calculated on a secured loan amount of $150,000 for a term of 25 years. WARNING: This Comparison Rate is true only for the example given and may not include all fees and charges. Different terms, fees and other loan amounts might result in a different Comparison Rate. Fees and Charges Apply. Terms and Conditions are available on request.